Back to IBM QuantumQuantum Demos · Quarterly Comparison Report
Quarterly Review · Q4 2026

Six Flagship Quantum Demos

Technology, Scope & Implementation Comparison

Date: October 2, 2026Prepared by: Guild Systems · Project ControlPlaneDemos covered: 6Registered claims: 28
Executive Summary

This report compares the six flagship interactive quantum demonstrations built for the IBM Quantum engagement page. Each demo addresses a distinct enterprise question and demonstrates a different quantum computational pattern — optimization, chemistry, simulation, advantage, security, and operations. All six share a common lifecycle (Define → Model → Classical Baseline → Quantum → Hybridize → Validate → Interpret), a shared ClaimsRegistry component that exposes hover-enabled provenance for every quantitative metric, and a consistent credibility posture that distinguishes synthetic demo data from published research and classical benchmarks.

Two demos are grounded in published research (Molecular Discovery references the IBM / Cleveland Clinic / RIKEN Gordon Bell finalist workflow; Advantage & Trust frames the beyond-classical question), two are business simulations of current enterprise problems (Portfolio Optimizer, Logistics Optimizer), one models an emerging research domain (Materials & Energy), and one addresses the "Act Now" problem that exists today regardless of quantum hardware maturity (Quantum-Safe Defender). No demo claims universal quantum advantage; every comparison is framed as hybrid candidate versus classical benchmark.

At-a-Glance Comparison
#DemoDomainPatternExec ModeClaims
1Quantum Portfolio OptimizerFinancial ServicesOptimizationBusiness Simulation4 (QPO-001 – QPO-004)
2Quantum Molecular Discovery LabHealthcare / PharmaQuantum ChemistryResearch Replay6 (QMD-001 – QMD-006)
3Quantum Materials & Energy LabEnergy / ManufacturingQuantum SimulationResearch Replay4 (QME-001 – QME-004)
4Quantum Advantage & Trust LabResearch / TechnologyAdvantageResearch Replay6 (QAT-001 – QAT-006)
5Quantum-Safe Enterprise DefenderCybersecurityQuantum SafeBusiness Simulation5 (QSD-001 – QSD-005)
6Quantum Logistics OptimizerSupply Chain / OperationsOptimizationBusiness Simulation3 (QLO-001 – QLO-003)
Detailed Demo Profiles
QPO

1. Quantum Portfolio Optimizer

Financial ServicesOptimizationBusiness SimulationSYNTHETIC

How can we construct a portfolio when thousands of combinations, constraints and competing objectives make optimization increasingly difficult?

Technology

Constrained combinatorial optimization over a synthetic 50-security universe (500 in full production). Three execution paths: classical baseline (heuristic/MILP, CPLEX-like), quantum sampling (binary encoding → quantum circuit → QPU/simulator), and hybrid refinement (quantum samples + classical local search + constraint validation). Dynamically-calculated search space via exact binomial coefficient C(50, maxAssets).

Scope

Universe of 500 securities (50 selected for demonstration). User-adjustable constraints: target return, max volatility, max assets, max sector exposure. Side-by-side classical benchmark vs hybrid candidate results table with sector breakdown. Never claims quantum universally wins — framed as HYBRID CANDIDATE vs CLASSICAL BENCHMARK.

Implementation

React + useState; useRunner hook (3 steps, 1100ms). Synthetic per-security return/volatility assumptions. Bitstring sample generation for quantum sampling visualization. ClaimsRegistry integration on search-space metric and three result metrics (expected return, estimated risk, objective score) in both columns.

QMD

2. Quantum Molecular Discovery Lab

Healthcare / PharmaQuantum ChemistryResearch ReplayRESEARCH + SYNTHETIC

Can quantum computing help calculate properties of molecular systems that become extraordinarily difficult to represent accurately using classical computation?

Technology

Quantum-centric supercomputing for molecular science. Protein-ligand system (PX-42 receptor, 12,000+ atoms, ~30,000 orbitals). Fragmentation architecture: full system → fragmentation → easy regions to classical HPC, difficult electronic regions to QPU → quantum samples → HPC reconstruction → energy estimate. Live CPU/GPU/QPU/HPC utilization dashboard across 6 pipeline steps.

Scope

Three drug candidates (A/B/C) ranked by binding energy (kcal/mol, lower = stronger). References real IBM / Cleveland Clinic / RIKEN quantum-centric workflow at 12,635 atoms — a 2026 Gordon Bell Prize finalist. Includes explicit credibility box: quantum does not currently replace state-of-the-art classical computational chemistry.

Implementation

React + useState; useRunner (6 steps, 850ms). Synthetic binding-energy model. Per-step resource utilization table. ClaimsRegistry on 2 system metrics, 3 candidate energy values, and 1 research-context claim. Confidence mix: RESEARCH (system + Gordon Bell) and SYNTHETIC (energies).

QME

3. Quantum Materials & Energy Lab

Energy / ManufacturingQuantum SimulationResearch ReplaySYNTHETIC

Can quantum computers model the quantum mechanics of industrial materials and energy systems?

Technology

Quantum simulation of molten-salt fusion-blanket materials. User selects salt formulation (LiF-BeF₂, LiF-NaF-KF, or experimental), operating temperature (500–900°C), and lithium concentration (0–100%). 6-step hybrid workflow: classical MD → identify difficult state → quantum circuit → QPU sampling → HPC processing → material prediction. AI Materials Agent proposes next configurations — the AI + HPC + Quantum loop.

Scope

Four material-property predictions per run: relative stability, tritium extraction, corrosion proxy, calculation confidence. All predictions flagged EXPERIMENTAL — not validated against physical experiments. Forward-looking AI-proposed next experiments (candidate configurations) with AI + HPC + QPU loop diagram.

Implementation

React + useState; useRunner (6 steps, 800ms). Outcome matrix keyed by salt formulation. Tone-coded property values (green/amber/red). ClaimsRegistry on all 4 property predictions. Confidence: SYNTHETIC.

QAT

4. Quantum Advantage & Trust Lab

Research / TechnologyAdvantageResearch ReplayRESEARCH + BENCHMARK

How do we know a quantum computer has done something genuinely beyond classical computation — and how do we trust an answer the classical computer cannot reproduce?

Technology

70-logical-qubit challenge circuit at high depth — complexity beyond practical exact classical simulation. Classical simulation: memory exceeds practical limit, runtime infeasible. Quantum execution: estimated ~15 min (accelerated playback in demo). Trust framework with syndrome extraction, fidelity bounds, and 4 validation checks (computation, fidelity evidence, error thresholds, classical tractability). Interactive advantage race showing advantage must be continually re-tested as classical algorithms improve.

Scope

The intellectual anchor demo. Frames the central question of beyond-classical computation and verifiability. Trust framework pipeline: logical encoding → error syndromes → noise characterization → statistical tests → fidelity bounds → trusted result. Advantage race with controls to improve classical algorithm, quantum hardware, or error correction.

Implementation

React + useState; useRunner (5 steps, 700ms). Live syndrome-extraction visualization (40-cell grid). Race state with three improvement buttons. ClaimsRegistry on qubit count, time estimate, and all 4 validation checks. Confidence: RESEARCH + BENCHMARK (classical tractability).

QSD

5. Quantum-Safe Enterprise Defender

CybersecurityQuantum SafeBusiness SimulationSYNTHETIC

What enterprise quantum problem requires action even before large fault-tolerant quantum computers exist?

Technology

Cryptographic discovery, CBOM (Cryptography Bill of Materials) generation, Harvest-Now/Decrypt-Later simulation, and post-quantum remediation for a synthetic enterprise (GlobalBank). Four-tab workflow: Discover (scan repositories/apps/certs/network), CBOM (generate crypto inventory table), HNDL (simulate capture → store → future decrypt with adjustable confidentiality lifetime), Remediate (migrate RSA-2048 to PQC with crypto-agility abstraction).

Scope

Synthetic enterprise: 437 apps, 12,400 servers, 8,700 certs, 412 APIs, 17 BUs. Discovery KPIs: 27,482 crypto assets, 8,341 certificates, 312 libraries, 1,284 quantum-vulnerable, 73 critical risks. Algorithm distribution (RSA/ECDSA/AES/SHA/ML-KEM). CBOM table with 6 application records showing algorithm, key, data sensitivity, exposure, lifetime, risk. Explicitly framed as the "Act Now" track — a business problem that exists today.

Implementation

React + useState; useRunner (4 steps, 600ms). Tab-based sub-step navigation. CBOM table with risk-tone coloring. HNDL lifetime slider (1–25y) driving dynamic year projection. ClaimsRegistry on 5 discovery KPIs. Confidence: SYNTHETIC. All data explicitly labeled simulated — no production security data.

QLO

6. Quantum Logistics Optimizer

Supply Chain / OperationsOptimizationBusiness SimulationSYNTHETIC

How should a company allocate scarce resources across many competing objectives and constraints?

Technology

Multi-objective supply-chain optimization. 6 distribution centers, 40 vehicles, 250 orders, 400 delivery constraints. Objectives: minimize distance, cost, late deliveries, carbon; maximize service level and utilization. Toggleable operational disruptions (fuel +20%, driver availability −15%, DC-3 offline, priority hospital order). 8-step hybrid algorithm: operational data → constraint model → classical preprocessing → quantum sampling → candidate schedules → classical refinement → feasibility check → dispatch plan. Network map with re-routed dispatch visualization.

Scope

Side-by-side comparison: classical heuristic vs quantum-hybrid candidate across cost, late orders, and miles. Results dynamically perturbed by active disruption count. Explicitly framed as DEMO RESULT — does not establish quantum advantage; exists to explain combinatorial optimization in business terms.

Implementation

React + useState; useRunner (8 steps, 500ms). SVG network map with 6 DC nodes and dynamic route coloring. Disruption toggle state. Perturbation model scaling metrics by active-count. ClaimsRegistry on 3 metrics × 2 blocks (6 hoverable instances, 3 unique claims). Confidence: SYNTHETIC.

Cross-Cutting Findings
Confidence LevelCountDescription
SYNTHETIC19Generated by the demo from a synthetic model. No real-world or production data.
RESEARCH8Based on published research (IBM / Cleveland Clinic / RIKEN, Gordon Bell Prize finalist work).
BENCHMARK1Classical benchmark — the basis of the beyond-classical claim in the Advantage & Trust demo.
  • Shared lifecycle. All six demos follow the same seven-stage Define → Model → Classical Baseline → Quantum → Hybridize → Validate → Interpret progression, surfaced through a shared useRunner hook that animates step-by-step execution.
  • Hover-enabled claims registry. Every quantitative metric is wrapped in a ClaimMetric component exposing a registered claim (ID, source, methodology, confidence, date) on hover — 28 registered claims across the six demos, with a ClaimsAvailableChip in each demo header indicating the hoverable count.
  • No universal-advantage claims. Every comparison is framed as hybrid candidate versus classical benchmark. The Molecular Discovery and Advantage & Trust demos include explicit credibility boxes stating quantum does not currently replace state-of-the-art classical methods.
  • Research grounding. Two demos cite real IBM research: the Cleveland Clinic / RIKEN quantum-centric workflow (12,635 atoms, 2026 Gordon Bell finalist) and the IBM Quantum advantage research program. The remaining four use clearly-labeled synthetic models.
  • Act-now track. Quantum-Safe Defender is the only demo carrying an "Act Now" reality label — the harvest-now-decrypt-later risk exists today, independent of fault-tolerant quantum hardware maturity.
Appendix · Claims Registry Index (28 claims)

Every hover-enabled quantitative metric in the six demos, with its registered claim ID, source demo, and confidence level.

Claim IDDemoConfidenceMetric
QPO-001PortfolioSYNTHETICSearch space (candidate combinations)
QPO-002PortfolioSYNTHETICExpected return
QPO-003PortfolioSYNTHETICEstimated risk
QPO-004PortfolioSYNTHETICObjective score
QMD-001MolecularRESEARCH12,000+ atoms (system size)
QMD-002MolecularRESEARCH~30,000 orbitals
QMD-003MolecularSYNTHETICCandidate A binding energy
QMD-004MolecularSYNTHETICCandidate B binding energy
QMD-005MolecularSYNTHETICCandidate C binding energy
QMD-006MolecularRESEARCH12,635 atoms (Gordon Bell context)
QME-001MaterialsSYNTHETICRelative stability
QME-002MaterialsSYNTHETICTritium extraction
QME-003MaterialsSYNTHETICCorrosion proxy
QME-004MaterialsSYNTHETICCalculation confidence
QAT-001AdvantageRESEARCH70 logical qubits
QAT-002AdvantageRESEARCH~15 min quantum runtime
QAT-003AdvantageRESEARCHComputation check
QAT-004AdvantageRESEARCHFidelity evidence
QAT-005AdvantageRESEARCHError thresholds
QAT-006AdvantageBENCHMARKClassical tractability
QSD-001Quantum-SafeSYNTHETICCryptographic assets (27,482)
QSD-002Quantum-SafeSYNTHETICCertificates (8,341)
QSD-003Quantum-SafeSYNTHETICLibraries (312)
QSD-004Quantum-SafeSYNTHETICQuantum-vulnerable (1,284)
QSD-005Quantum-SafeSYNTHETICCritical risks (73)
QLO-001LogisticsSYNTHETICCost
QLO-002LogisticsSYNTHETICLate orders
QLO-003LogisticsSYNTHETICMiles
Guild Systems · Project ControlPlane · Generated October 2, 2026 · All demo data is synthetic or research-referenced; no production data is represented.